Monday, September 14, 2009

AP Top 25 Poll - Week 2 (9/14/09)

Amid the excitement of NFL opening Sunday, the new AP Top 25 poll was released yesterday afternoon. Let’s take a look at how things shake out for this week:

1 Florida (56) 2-0, 1491 pts, PR: 1
2 Texas (1) 2-0, 1404 pts, PR: 2
3 USC (1) 2-0, 1396 pts, PR: 3
4 Alabama (2) 2-0, 1328 pts, PR: 4
5 Mississippi 1-0, 1145 pts, PR: 6
5 Penn State 2-0, 1145 pts, PR: 7
7 Brigham Young 2-0, 1122 pts, PR: 9
8 California 2-0, 1058 pts, PR: 10
9 LSU 2-0, 951 pts, PR: 11
10 Boise State 2-0, 945 pts, PR: 12
11 Ohio State 1-1, 840 pts, PR: 8
12 Oklahoma 1-1, 835 pts PR: 13
13 Virginia Tech 1-1, 749 pts, PR: 14
14 Georgia Tech 2-0, 683 pts, PR: 15
15 TCU 1-0, 609 pts, PR: 16
16 Oklahoma State 1-1, 445 pts, PR: 5
17 Cincinnati 2-0, 407 pts, PR: 23
18 Utah 2-0, 405 pts, PR: 17
19 Nebraska 2-0, 365 pts, PR: 22
20 Miami (FL) 1-0, 364 pts, PR: 20
21 Houston 2-0, 341 pts, PR: NR
22 Kansas 2-0, 271 pts, PR: 24
23 Georgia 1-1, 260 pts, PR: 21
24 North Carolina 2-0, 250 pts, PR: 19
25 Michigan 2-0, 169 pts, PR: NR

Dropped from rankings:
Notre Dame 18
Missouri 25

There was not a great deal of movement in the top 10 this week and most of the teams held steady. Florida continues to be the overwhelming #1 in the country, again receiving 56 out of 60 1st place votes. USC’s win over Ohio State was good enough to siphon 1 first place vote away from Texas. The top 4 remained the same and the biggest fall of the week was suffered by Oklahoma State. Their loss at home to Houston cost them 11 spots as they tumbled all the way down to #16. The loss also exposed Oklahoma State’s defense and they are not as strong as they appeared last week. This will be a big problem against the high powered offenses in the Big 12 and I suspect that the Cowboys will be suffering at least 1 or 2 more losses this year. They will seriously need to regroup if they hope to still score a major Bowl game invite at the end of the year. The defense needs to find some answers or QB Zac Robinson and WR Dez Bryant need to kick it into another gear.

Speaking of Houston, the huge win for the Cougars leaped them into the Top 25 at #21. It has been 18 long years since Houston has been in the Top 25. Back then, QB David Klingler led the Cougars and they were ranked as high as #10. However, blowout losses to Miami (FL) and Illinois dropped them out of the Top 25 and they haven’t been a player on the national scene since. Houston will hope for a better and longer stay this time around. I was highly impressed with the Cougars’ offense and they can light up the scoreboard with the athletic talent they have. In a small bit of irony, I think Houston could be this year’s Oklahoma State. They will rely on the offense to try and outscore their opposition and hope the defense can do enough to protect the win. This was the formula Oklahoma State used last year and now Houston will have to do the same. If they keep scoring like they did Saturday, they could have a really good season.

Also joining the Top 25 party this week are the Michigan Wolverines. As I expected, their huge win at home against Notre Dame was good enough to sneak Michigan into the poll at #25. This is the 1st time Michigan has been ranked since the end of the 2007 season. It appears that the Wolverines are for real and will be a player this season. They are entering a soft spot on their schedule, so if they can avoid a letdown, they will stay in the poll. I now expect Michigan to obviously overachieve this year, but I still don’t think they are up to Ohio State and Penn State’s level yet. The loss by Notre Dame dropped them out of the Top 25 completely and they were joined by Missouri. The shaky win against Bowling Green was not enough to keep the Tigers in the poll.

Ohio State’s loss to USC only cost them three positions in the poll as they dropped from #8 to #11. I will be interested to see how the Buckeyes rebound. The loss is not a season killer, but now they will have to win their huge game against Penn State later this year to have a shot at a BCS Bowl game. Confidence could be an issue as Ohio State continues to fall short in big games.

The “BCS busters” all had a good week 2 and they continued to inch up the rankings. BYU jumped 2 spots from #9 to #7, Boise State also jumped 2 spots from #12 to #10, and TCU slid up one spot to #15. All of these teams will control their own destiny if they continue to win.

The biggest jump inside the Top 25 this week belonged to Cincinnati. I guess that a 70-3 massacre of Southeast Missouri State is worth something after all. Cincinnati jumped up 6 spots from #23 to #17. After not being ranked at all to start the season, Cincinnati could now become a major player if they keep winning. The Big East is a part of the BCS, so the Bearcats are now the long and away frontrunners to score a major Bowl game bid for the 2nd consecutive season.

Finally, the less than impressive wins by Georgia and North Carolina put them perilously close to falling from the rankings. Georgia’s defense did not show up against South Carolina and the Bulldogs were lucky to outscore them and produce a goal line stand at the end of the game to steal a 41-37 win. Georgia fell from #21 to #23. The Tar Heels needed a holding penalty in the end zone which gave them a safety to defeat Connecticut on Saturday, 12-10. The close call dropped UNC 5 spots from #19 to #24.

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